Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b206c71383567706ceb7a279b63960c0e102d5d3bb2fff09bd447872b20315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 4,512$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 3,625$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.26 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 1,520$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.42 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 937.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 799.5$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.85 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 39c | 555$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 22c | 466.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 52c | 452.84$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 37c | 401.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 342.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Over | 68c | 341.17$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 17c | 329.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 54c | 236.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 40c | 193.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 54c | 172.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 67c | 164.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Over | 36c | 158.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Over | 37c | 127.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 8c | 127.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 109.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 39c | 98.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 25c | 80.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 44c | 61.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 39.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Over | 42c | 23.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AC Monza (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.