Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd1eb058089538127340aafc337d6271ff748335febb91d2752b0162086c56c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 6,913$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.78 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 4,768$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.43 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 21c | 4,761$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.19 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 2,614$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.95 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 75c | 2,389$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 21c | 1,503$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.53 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 21c | 1,233$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.07 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 75c | 760$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 653.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 498.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.9 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 465.99$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.47 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 50c | 420.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 218.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 35c | 156$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 21c | 110.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 35c | 104.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 78c | 88.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 56c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 26c | 73.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 27c | 71.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Under | 79c | 63.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 73c | 52.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 29c | 48.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 35c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 28c | 36.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 77c | 28.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Monza (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.