Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2413e8c11ccc72dc00152fe88963bc271403293daff8e5104930bf7fec4731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 3,200$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.81 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…ce20backed Under | 47c | 2,368$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 1,980$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.21 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 1c | 1,828$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Over | 43c | 1,305$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 1c | 1,102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 1,030$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.67 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 41c | 777$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.93 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 53c | 545$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 497.32$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.42 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 482.96$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.78 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 54c | 477.78$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 46c | 477.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 4c | 451.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…3b25backed Over | 67c | 440.82$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 60c | 431$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 35c | 417.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 58c | 390$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 362.72$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Over | 43c | 340$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 55c | 328.61$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 298.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 201.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 58c | 183$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…fa07backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 47c | 162.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 161.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…767fbacked Over | 42c | 153.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 49c | 142.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 58c | 112.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 60c | 102.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 41c | 101.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 83.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 50c | 79.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 58c | 72.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 41c | 66.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…a4f2backed Under | 61c | 49.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 55c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 59c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Monza (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.