TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes37c8,192$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.062245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No6c7,391$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.81,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes36c4,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5805042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c2,747$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No65c2,270$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47315757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c1,525$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97615255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No4c1,276$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7615735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Yes68c999.96$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes70c969.21$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.1210847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No62c949.96$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.026139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed No33c902$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.241010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-81.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011169.4%77 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes37c681.08$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0811146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c626.39$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39569851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c539.84$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.292,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101050%5 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+154.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31517062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No63c450$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.514355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Yes68c425$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c334.37$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0480953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes70c313.94$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.941963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked No64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18912757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18913855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes36c280$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes37c269.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0954128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e9…a66dbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No19c256.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No9c235.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4640821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No22c221.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2911324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No64c210$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.417959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No64c210$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes36c178.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.354035%14 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Yes38c158.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No65c154.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c114.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.361,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8928…2fe5backed Yes70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No20c107.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1751516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes38c103.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2817047.6%81 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes68c103.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9729238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No63c102.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.87247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3e…1edfbacked No32c101.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6429158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No32c90.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.834637%17 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No19c82.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6873258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffbb…7a04backed Yes70c81.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked No63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x44ba…5618backed Yes68c73.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Yes38c66.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.232751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4beb…9af9backed Yes68c64.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes67c61.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.174562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No63c58.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.911457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes73c54.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.844650%23 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No63c51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.132250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf87…ce88backed Yes37c50.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed No64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5113550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b03…13eebacked Yes37c41.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.051540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.212532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f0a…1584backed Yes37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fa…013abacked Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes36c36.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.111233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Yes70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes36c35.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4311850.8%60 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230e…89aebacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x836d…49afbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x284a…017ebacked Yes37c30.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.072020%4 W · 16 L-7.5wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-60%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No64c28.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.948155.6%45 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa83c…f0f4backed Yes72c26.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes68c22.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2711761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf79…796ebacked Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed No64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87369.9%51 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes65c15.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.475651.8%29 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.