Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d5d31b58fc186d90994ed16de0591f30ecc4e9726f130044f5da15bc267d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 21c | 7,771$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 2,905$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.31 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 28c | 361.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed Yes | 24c | 302$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 19c | 280.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 24c | 272.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 200.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 180.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 172$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 79c | 152.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…1edfbacked No | 78c | 101.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 28c | 52.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6f5bbacked No | 78c | 18.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.