Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf04f54dd1dc36d20aa43db7f097d8b4f33d8da3f359b8a8314fde89ae13d48c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 11c | 4,638$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…f36fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,477$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Yes | 11c | 943.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 10c | 760.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 36c | 559.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 455.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 37c | 328.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 291.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 62c | 279.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 37c | 224.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 210.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 73c | 185.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 180.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 37c | 167.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 63c | 129.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 128.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 121.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e01…c8f1backed Yes | 14c | 113.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 106$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 36c | 96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked No | 66c | 76.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 24c | 72.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 36c | 66.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…4e8dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 76c | 55.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…5f86backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 36c | 49.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed No | 65c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.