Tennis · resolved market
Granby: Fajing Sun vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b3c0bcf7c3b72b7959b8e8316442b416fd065af9341c9a9535d4a94fde0dbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Fajing Sun, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Fajing Sun | 22c | 2,128$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.53 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…07efbacked Fajing Sun | 21c | 1,029$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arthur Gea | 78c | 973.29$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Gea | 74c | 815.19$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fajing Sun | 5c | 745.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Fajing Sun | 11c | 693.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fajing Sun | 5c | 667.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arthur Gea | 79c | 593.43$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Fajing Sun | 22c | 530.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Fajing Sun | 33c | 525.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Fajing Sun | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Arthur Gea | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arthur Gea | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Fajing Sun | 15c | 234.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Arthur Gea | 67c | 216.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Fajing Sun | 23c | 173.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Fajing Sun | 23c | 162.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fajing Sun | 36c | 130.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fajing Sun | 22c | 103.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Arthur Gea | 78c | 88.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arthur Gea | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Fajing Sun | 38c | 80.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Fajing Sun | 24c | 69.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…567dbacked Fajing Sun | 31c | 64.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Arthur Gea | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fajing Sun | 27c | 54.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Arthur Gea | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Arthur Gea | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Fajing Sun | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arthur Gea | 74c | 28.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Arthur Gea | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Arthur Gea | 79c | 20.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arthur Gea | 79c | 18.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Arthur Gea | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Arthur Gea | 77c | 13.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.