Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Mei Yamaguchi vs Greet Minnen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6801a9c0ade4de98bcb86709c95bd968335959d80c4a427826e31d9f6bef0997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Greet Minnenof Mei Yamaguchi, Greet Minnen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Mei Yamaguchi | 13c | 33,544$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mei Yamaguchi | 9c | 11,519$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 9c | 6,992$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Mei Yamaguchi | 9c | 5,017$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Mei Yamaguchi | 9c | 4,690$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 10c | 3,876$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.46 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 3,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mei Yamaguchi | 8c | 1,973$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 1,811$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mei Yamaguchi | 14c | 1,559$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mei Yamaguchi | 12c | 1,441$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 1,355$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Mei Yamaguchi | 9c | 1,289$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…4a86backed Mei Yamaguchi | 6c | 1,204$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 880$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 759.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…f3d0backed Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 697.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Mei Yamaguchi | 9c | 524.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 412.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Mei Yamaguchi | 13c | 383.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 373.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 10c | 358$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Mei Yamaguchi | 6c | 313.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…413ebacked Mei Yamaguchi | 4c | 309.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 287.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…8506backed Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 244.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mei Yamaguchi | 8c | 241$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mei Yamaguchi | 9c | 240.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Mei Yamaguchi | 5c | 223.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Mei Yamaguchi | 8c | 219.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Mei Yamaguchi | 13c | 188.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Mei Yamaguchi | 9c | 168.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Mei Yamaguchi | 7c | 165.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Mei Yamaguchi | 17c | 162.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Mei Yamaguchi | 12c | 152.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Mei Yamaguchi | 11c | 113.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Mei Yamaguchi | 13c | 111.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Mei Yamaguchi | 12c | 101.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Mei Yamaguchi | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Mei Yamaguchi | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Greet Minnen | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Mei Yamaguchi vs Greet Minnenthis page
- Mei Yamaguchi vs. Greet Minnen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Yamaguchi vs MinnenMinnen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.