Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-07?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4c13d5139ff217b11d58710214815e2fdec2e0845fad24aaa9d13d2e70f022

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,204 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	80c	6,292$5,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280.58	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	57c	6,002$3,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,605.37	376	49.5%186 W · 190 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes	22c	4,640$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes	51c	4,492$2,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,278.34	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+21%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	21c	3,094$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.51	145	32.4%47 W · 98 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes	44c	2,206$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.5	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	59c	1,863$1,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.07	723	35.5%257 W · 466 L	-28.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	80c	1,479$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.01	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	45c	1,209$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.53	361	42.4%153 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	48c	1,095$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.15	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	42c	1,017$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.28	886	31.7%281 W · 605 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes	3c	975.34$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.68	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	51c	890.38$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.66	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5838…0179backed Yes	49c	805.43$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes	50c	759.5$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.12	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked No	57c	717.48$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.3	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	5c	716.41$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	272	36.4%99 W · 173 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	8c	715.27$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.92	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes	8c	650.29$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…3288backed Yes	53c	649.45$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.16	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+3.2wins	+0.46per pick	40cpaid	+171%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Yes	42c	600$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	55cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	56c	565.47$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.81	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes	8c	534$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.03	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Yes	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	20	40%8 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes	45c	466.67$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-9.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	56c	446$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.24	403	50.9%205 W · 198 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	56c	445.34$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.95	607	48.4%294 W · 313 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked No	46c	413$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.74	142	38%54 W · 88 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	6c	409.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	1,021	35.3%360 W · 661 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	56c	357.02$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.09	502	47.2%237 W · 265 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Yes	48c	309.98$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.79	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes	49c	306.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Yes	48c	268.33$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	64c	263.64$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.67	328	43.6%143 W · 185 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea3…b87fbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…bbdabacked Yes	6c	223.29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No	56c	206.33$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.86	225	52%117 W · 108 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Yes	26c	195.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes	46c	191.3$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes	21c	190.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	51c	190$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.1	432	52.3%226 W · 206 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No	52c	182.52$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.97	446	47.3%211 W · 235 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	51c	169.91$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.74	358	60.6%217 W · 141 L	+21.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes	41c	161.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.07	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	44c	158.39$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.84	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	44c	156$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.08	160	47.5%76 W · 84 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes	44c	151.08$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.12	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-6.6wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes	49c	129.36$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.39	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes	40c	127.37$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.87	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Yes	49c	121.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Yes	21c	114.29$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235f…9225backed Yes	49c	114.2$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Yes	49c	102.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	49cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb20d…83aebacked Yes	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	55c	96.22$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.92	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed No	57c	95.43$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.21	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes	12c	89.12$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Yes	12c	87.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No	55c	85.77$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	297	46.5%138 W · 159 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes	19c	85.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.62	154	42.9%66 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes	18c	84.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.37	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No	57c	69.5$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Yes	42c	65.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.63	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes	49c	63.61$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.17	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	41c	62.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d6…b7b5backed Yes	48c	61.35$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes	21c	58.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed No	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes	43c	48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.57	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No	61c	47.33$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.48	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	41c	46$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.73	306	56.9%174 W · 132 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	42c	45.75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	152	36.8%56 W · 96 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes	41c	44.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes	41c	43.9$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes	46c	43.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No	51c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79da…f465backed No	56c	42$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+77%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	56c	39.61$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.43	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Yes	41c	38.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No	51c	29.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.49	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4aa…f4e5backed No	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37e…2709backed No	66c	22.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.84	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-07?this page
Will Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-07?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-07?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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