Champions League · resolved market
Will Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0a971f47508595b9ea84c6d6cd9ae8319099f06c68096f984fa41f98fc41a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 3,633$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.01 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 2,692$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.76 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 1,700$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.53 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 1,671$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.58 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,533$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,253$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.96 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,027$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.96 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 29c | 641.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Yes | 4c | 385.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 347$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 19c | 252.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 156$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 28c | 152.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 28c | 131.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 125.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Yes | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yes | 28c | 89.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 78.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 28c | 67.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yes | 23c | 64.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 29c | 64.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 46.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 43.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 33c | 40.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 36.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 30.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked No | 70c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-07?Yes won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.