Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01746ddb3ffc31b74b99660e9aa98a1b6f5f987bc65d6923f2e0e6f963aeb0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samuel Herediaof Samuel Heredia, Eduardo Ribeiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samuel Heredia | 41c | 14,413$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,527.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 70c | 9,056$6,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 12c | 2,142$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Samuel Heredia | 48c | 1,811$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.25 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 3c | 1,751$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 54c | 1,046$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.66 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 53c | 770.45$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.41 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…e0c3backed Samuel Heredia | 19c | 515.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Samuel Heredia | 46c | 381.28$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 31c | 360.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 41c | 282.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 51c | 267.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 59c | 265$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 66c | 247.77$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 14c | 221.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 59c | 211.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 70c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Samuel Heredia | 51c | 181.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 56c | 178.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 62c | 167.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 15c | 157.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 61c | 151.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Samuel Heredia | 40c | 150.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Samuel Heredia | 44c | 130.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Samuel Heredia | 36c | 127.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Samuel Heredia | 43c | 107.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Samuel Heredia | 19c | 106$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 53c | 105.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 58c | 104.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Samuel Heredia | 36c | 103.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Samuel Heredia | 39c | 93.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Samuel Heredia | 48c | 87.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Samuel Heredia | 47c | 86.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Samuel Heredia | 69c | 84.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadb…e004backed Samuel Heredia | 23c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 62c | 79.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samuel Heredia | 18c | 78.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 52c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 42c | 69.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 45c | 65.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Samuel Heredia | 47c | 63.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 39c | 59.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Samuel Heredia | 38c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 47c | 53.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 50c | 52.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Samuel Heredia | 55c | 47.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Samuel Heredia | 54c | 47.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Samuel Heredia | 54c | 43.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Samuel Heredia | 31c | 43.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 49c | 42.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Samuel Heredia | 42c | 40.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Samuel Heredia | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 67c | 34.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 44c | 33.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…ed8ebacked Samuel Heredia | 60c | 33.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 62c | 31.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 55c | 26.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 70c | 22.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Samuel Heredia | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 71c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quito: Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeirothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Heredia vs RibeiroHeredia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.