Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Bruno Fernandez vs Rodrigo Pacheco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077249a4a8213eee827c1f8ccfbbb7b156da1e72604c7511e02e4d524f463ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodrigo Pachecoof Bruno Fernandez, Rodrigo Pacheco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Bruno Fernandez | 7c | 15,370$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.48 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 78c | 9,491$7,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bruno Fernandez | 24c | 9,452$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.33 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Bruno Fernandez | 31c | 3,745$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.25 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 78c | 3,008$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.5 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 72c | 2,157$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.41 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Bruno Fernandez | 32c | 2,079$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.58 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 1,387$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 78c | 1,174$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…fccdbacked Bruno Fernandez | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 78c | 509.71$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 494.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Bruno Fernandez | 27c | 447.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Bruno Fernandez | 24c | 443.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 70c | 340.89$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Bruno Fernandez | 35c | 264.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 253$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 69c | 251.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 77c | 249.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 65c | 234.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bruno Fernandez | 40c | 228$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bruno Fernandez | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bruno Fernandez | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Bruno Fernandez | 44c | 193.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bruno Fernandez | 25c | 191.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Bruno Fernandez | 12c | 188.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 78c | 178.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Bruno Fernandez | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Bruno Fernandez | 39c | 134.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Bruno Fernandez | 31c | 132.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bruno Fernandez | 20c | 131.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Bruno Fernandez | 23c | 127.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Bruno Fernandez | 21c | 126.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 125.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 121$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Bruno Fernandez | 33c | 112.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bruno Fernandez | 23c | 96.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bruno Fernandez | 16c | 83.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Bruno Fernandez | 34c | 81.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bruno Fernandez | 21c | 79.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Bruno Fernandez | 22c | 74.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 71.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Bruno Fernandez | 28c | 71.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Bruno Fernandez | 18c | 62.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bruno Fernandez | 40c | 62.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Bruno Fernandez | 35c | 58.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bruno Fernandez | 20c | 54.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Bruno Fernandez | 27c | 52.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…e65abacked Bruno Fernandez | 29c | 50.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 80c | 49.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Bruno Fernandez | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Bruno Fernandez | 33c | 48.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Bruno Fernandez | 23c | 46.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Bruno Fernandez | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 64c | 22.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quito: Bruno Fernandez vs Rodrigo Pachecothis page
- Set Handicap: Pacheco (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)Fernandez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.