Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19988b4725ef03329a1560bba03694ea13c7a95ade1766c20f0bca433e076e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 62c | 9,060$5,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.65 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 2c | 6,771$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 5,870$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 66c | 5,444$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.87 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 1,644$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.79 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 31c | 1,488$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.12 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 49c | 1,140$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 58c | 1,124$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.37 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 1,020$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.31 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Under | 54c | 1,014$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…f1b6backed Under | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked Under | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…f832backed Under | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 31c | 978.75$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 940.99$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.19 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 775.49$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.15 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 696$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 53c | 694.18$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.09 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 19c | 548.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 51c | 490.47$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 64c | 434.94$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 69c | 423.37$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 59c | 349.57$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…c8e9backed Over | 66c | 323.89$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 57c | 290.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 64c | 232.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 16c | 225$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 79c | 224$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 42c | 176.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 61c | 163.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…c5efbacked Over | 11c | 162.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +361%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 18c | 142.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 54c | 131.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 52c | 116.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 66c | 112$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 57c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 45c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 57c | 107.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 56c | 83.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Under | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb204…81f5backed Over | 55c | 71.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 63c | 63.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 58.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3193…c305backed Under | 36c | 54.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Under | 51c | 53.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 50.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…7ec6backed Under | 31c | 48.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 52c | 45.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 68c | 40.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…c187backed Over | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 68c | 30.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 30.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 68c | 29.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…d175backed Under | 67c | 29.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 28.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.