TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under22c2,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9911645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c1,494$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.583,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c1,455$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3997346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over58c1,272$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.754341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under43c1,039$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7317446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c947.09$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.062,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c910.66$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0496947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over78c695.14$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.856849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over77c683.25$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.442,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under36c673.45$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.572,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over56c621.52$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4714245.8%65 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Under12c491.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.934136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under35c472.74$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.481,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c410.18$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.872,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c346.65$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.467755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Over57c277.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over57c264.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.825558.2%32 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under47c223.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.211216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over69c203.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.985158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under30c200.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.318244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9414630.1%44 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…ebf8backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9920050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over57c173.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2519848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c160$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6847649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over73c152.78$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0537046.5%172 W · 198 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over57c149.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1212242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under50c144.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.472441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over80c139.51$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.95971.2%42 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick73cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over60c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.473860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c115.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.671,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under44c113.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9818449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c112.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5379532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece6…b10cbacked Over79c100.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.161250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over51c98.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.845933.9%20 W · 39 L-8.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over53c98.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.683625%9 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over55c90.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over57c87.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9227846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under46c85.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8415628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under45c83.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52564%16 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6778344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under37c80.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.986035%21 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over60c78.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3633446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under43c75.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.694540%18 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over80c68.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under43c68.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7211650.9%59 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under46c66.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.599154.9%50 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over74c65.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3585260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under50c62.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0832436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc15a…5bd2backed Over48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c56.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3d…61febacked Over53c52.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.862152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3193…c305backed Under20c52.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Under22c51.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.579354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over49c49.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.491450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over71c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.534953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Under39c45.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.663450%17 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over57c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.061050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under47c38.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9450154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under45c38.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1723653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Under46c38.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.331154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2926647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over63c34.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over42c28.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.717028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over63c26.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.083154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ab…e1acbacked Over80c26.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a3…a593backed Over57c26.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc2…56a9backed Over58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Over77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under46c25.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.525952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+67.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.255149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9321840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Over59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf92…9e59backed Over56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Over78c13.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.