Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5536d1260cb9439a6a33dbf5edc19c55f8e2031883d866c08ec106263ac6d360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 71c | 10,000$7,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.3 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 8,335$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920.9 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 28c | 3,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.93 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 1,644$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 876.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.35 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 624.15$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 37c | 529.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 366.97$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Under | 73c | 304.1$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 68c | 173.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 61c | 136.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 69c | 134.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 31c | 90.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 63c | 80.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 37c | 62.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 37c | 44.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Under | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 17.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.