Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fde7a349d8c4725cd58376aa0ad5a1c51e57eaef5012d5b368564d0193dac94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 58c | 20,067$11,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,602.03 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 11,178$4,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.45 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 2c | 8,172$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 4,548$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.62 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 22c | 2,483$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.67 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 46c | 1,726$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.58 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Over | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 73c | 988.68$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 919.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 779.97$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 703.67$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.98 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 532.33$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.49 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Over | 47c | 410.88$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf313…9ea6backed Over | 33c | 329.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 253.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 66c | 206.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Over | 42c | 185.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 70c | 184.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 42c | 139.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 49c | 139.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Over | 47c | 119.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 46c | 118.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 74c | 91.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 68c | 85.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 83.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 50c | 76.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 71c | 64.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 80c | 56.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 46c | 52.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 42c | 51.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 42c | 51.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 73c | 51.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 42c | 49.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 75c | 46.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 36c | 44.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 32c | 43.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…020ebacked Over | 79c | 42.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 50c | 40.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 68c | 35.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 62c | 32.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 67c | 28.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 41c | 25.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…a593backed Under | 68c | 18.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 70c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 75c | 16.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 72c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 68c | 15.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.