Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d7a0ca79678678270b287125c6067c1b052e346c0d364ad49c2b9f1d4bef54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Malishevaof FC Malisheva, KF Vllaznia Shkodër
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked FC Malisheva | 30c | 4,250$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.23 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Malisheva | 29c | 1,251$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.55 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 70c | 1,033$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.19 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…f5b4backed FC Malisheva | 30c | 435.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 69c | 377.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked FC Malisheva | 30c | 140.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Malisheva | 55c | 127.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 41c | 126.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Malisheva | 29c | 104.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Malisheva | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 71c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 71c | 77.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Malisheva | 20c | 71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed FC Malisheva | 29c | 65.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked FC Malisheva | 30c | 53.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 70c | 48.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 71c | 42.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 71c | 35.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KF Vllaznia Shkodër | 75c | 15.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)this page
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.