Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1ffd211c0a7fe05038db5e3cef90b4de2e371310256d271dfd8e0f4cac52c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 24,364$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 2c | 6,852$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 11c | 2,349$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.46 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 10c | 1,819$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 12c | 1,229$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 17c | 1,044$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 10c | 622.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Over | 9c | 467.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 14c | 371.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 5c | 267.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 9c | 200.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 183.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Over | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 70c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.