Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bdbb4d9b799130cee1364ec8f489d7e08ad66777a0820b633c0fe277fe4bba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 6,125$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.63 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 25c | 751.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 602.36$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.26 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 14c | 596.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 74c | 541$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd2…9a46backed Under | 50c | 521.14$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed Over | 49c | 495.47$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked Under | 52c | 426.19$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 15c | 418.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 51c | 394.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 384.32$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 362.7$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…83aebacked Over | 52c | 320$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 75c | 309.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 50c | 291.68$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 14c | 285$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 230.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 72c | 224.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 51c | 210$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under | 51c | 209$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 187.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 185.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 177.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 41c | 165.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 115.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Under | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 13c | 106$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 77.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 69.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 51c | 68.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 57c | 65.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 47.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 51c | 46.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…1aabbacked Under | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Over | 67c | 36.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 28.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 69c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 57c | 18.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Over | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.