TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,529 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef84…6872backed Over2c8,000$130 inLost-$130110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Over2c600$12 inLost-$1240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Over2c600$12 inLost-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over31c398.27$124 inLost-$124.1784342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under74c397.99$296 inWon+$101.669467%63 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over35c375.11$133 inLost-$132.642,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over26c373.1$96 inLost-$96.054168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.8wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+53%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c218.66$57 inLost-$56.8222653.5%121 W · 105 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over14c188.52$27 inLost-$27.2293535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over26c115.98$30 inLost-$30.167050%35 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over51c104$53 inLost-$53.044934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Under75c100$75 inWon+$256479.7%51 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over27c100$27 inLost-$2739855.8%222 W · 176 L+31.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c90.92$58 inWon+$33.0472944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under57c87.73$50 inWon+$37.31,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under47c81.08$38 inWon+$42.981,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over48c79.17$38 inLost-$381216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over48c66.35$32 inLost-$31.8520150.7%102 W · 99 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under70c62.33$44 inWon+$18.7659342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over44c50$22 inLost-$2226052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c49.02$35 inWon+$14.481,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc96f…93f6backed Over45c42.72$19 inLost-$19.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under74c40$30 inWon+$10.412152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under73c40$29 inWon+$10.89549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under53c25.99$14 inWon+$12.2256545.5%257 W · 308 L-24.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over55c23$13 inLost-$12.5436142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over63c18.89$12 inLost-$11.95078%39 W · 11 L+12.4wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+48.2%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.