TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ulsan HD FCof Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, Ulsan HD FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,112 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC62c1,704$1,056 inLost-$1,056.4669352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC45c852$387 inLost-$386.834768.1%32 W · 15 L+10.5wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+56.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC41c852$353 inLost-$352.534663%29 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ulsan HD FC54c620.99$335 inWon+$285.6672144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Ulsan HD FC22c405$89 inWon+$315.91650%8 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+118.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Ulsan HD FC62c347.62$215 inWon+$132.572,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Ulsan HD FC34c293.41$100 inWon+$193.6512362.6%77 W · 46 L+17.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC46c175.69$81 inLost-$80.8219965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC9c166.5$15 inLost-$14.891,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Ulsan HD FC52c151.49$79 inWon+$72.337559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Ulsan HD FC41c100$41 inWon+$5939655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC16c69.06$11 inLost-$11.252,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC17c63.9$11 inLost-$11.181,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ulsan HD FC80c57.88$46 inWon+$11.745,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC37c56$21 inLost-$20.761,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC60c52.65$32 inLost-$31.5921144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Ulsan HD FC34c52.58$18 inWon+$34.75154.9%28 W · 23 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Ulsan HD FC55c43$24 inWon+$19.3511952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Ulsan HD FC54c43$23 inWon+$19.789350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ulsan HD FC54c40$22 inWon+$18.3727037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.