TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa704…11c1backed Over75c1,341$1,000 inWon+$341.253461.8%21 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c642.39$161 inLost-$160.62,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under26c593.86$154 inLost-$154.484342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Over76c213.38$162 inWon+$51.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under24c191.26$46 inLost-$46.182,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c177.7$43 inLost-$42.985,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf80…5993backed Over75c106.67$80 inWon+$26.671758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under25c103$25 inLost-$25.341,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over76c100$76 inWon+$24.058667.4%58 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under24c70$17 inLost-$17.154746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over76c65.45$50 inWon+$15.4521367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Over76c52.63$40 inWon+$12.631540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.