TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,943 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07ea…a6babacked Over64c1,889$1,200 inWon+$688.538843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under42c1,587$673 inLost-$673.3527037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over67c1,384$924 inWon+$460.4519965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under32c1,028$333 inLost-$332.7792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over47c834$393 inWon+$441.014772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.6wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over42c834$353 inWon+$481.373865.8%25 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under12c762.6$92 inLost-$91.516634.8%23 W · 43 L+13.5wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+156.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over66c453.9$301 inWon+$153.3721574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over53c440.97$235 inWon+$205.7421652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under46c392.12$181 inLost-$181.4326136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under51c357.25$181 inLost-$180.8872144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c347.35$95 inWon+$252.485,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under43c213$91 inLost-$91.1358542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over46c209$96 inWon+$112.866747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over58c205$119 inWon+$86.19041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under73c202.74$148 inLost-$1484566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over54c136.1$74 inWon+$62.5139561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under73c100$73 inLost-$72.553946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over45c100$45 inWon+$5539655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over46c83.15$38 inWon+$44.937562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c78.91$39 inLost-$39.211,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under19c77.17$15 inLost-$14.6682842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over29c77.07$22 inWon+$54.7274739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under39c76.92$30 inLost-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under50c68.44$34 inLost-$34.2237559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c60.85$43 inLost-$43.282,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c59.42$30 inLost-$29.7169352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under72c53.65$39 inLost-$38.6315352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over26c47.3$12 inWon+$351,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Under72c41.67$30 inLost-$301172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over60c40.33$24 inWon+$16.136041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under53c40$21 inLost-$21.211952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over49c36$18 inWon+$18.3636142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c32.48$14 inLost-$13.752,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over49c28$14 inWon+$14.288347%39 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4b…a184backed Under74c27.03$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Over62c25$16 inWon+$9.51560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Under74c20.27$15 inLost-$152676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.