TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Rangersof Chicago White Sox, Texas Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox49c99,999$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,999.511,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers52c30,779$15,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,924.6710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Texas Rangers51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,70026054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers51c17,004$8,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,331.863,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Chicago White Sox48c8,348$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.2246949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Chicago White Sox49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers53c7,500$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52548952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Texas Rangers54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers51c4,506$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers51c4,505$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.032,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers51c3,789$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.584,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers52c2,324$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.698,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Texas Rangers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9807852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Chicago White Sox47c1,941$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9861947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers51c1,464$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.375,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers52c1,446$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.162,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox46c1,353$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.3286548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Texas Rangers53c1,296$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.1244953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox19c1,077$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.098,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Texas Rangers52c1,058$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.694141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Texas Rangers61c982.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.9643459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Texas Rangers55c914.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.4210750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox28c803$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9979442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Chicago White Sox25c786.92$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.736245.2%28 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox49c711.63$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.789153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Texas Rangers52c541.96$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.141963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Texas Rangers53c522.14$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1417961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Chicago White Sox49c520.83$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2138353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac6…a8cebacked Chicago White Sox49c502.16$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.067941.8%33 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Chicago White Sox47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Texas Rangers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Chicago White Sox47c426.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011750.4%59 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers52c410.09$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.66,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Texas Rangers75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Chicago White Sox25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Texas Rangers52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox47c316$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.521,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox26c311.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Texas Rangers79c309.65$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4231958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Chicago White Sox26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chicago White Sox37c294.71$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0446239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Texas Rangers75c284.91$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4352955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Texas Rangers63c282.06$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5315751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Texas Rangers54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7843247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers61c255.11$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.038,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Chicago White Sox46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox28c213.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.914,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Chicago White Sox48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox26c207.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.893,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9be…08bebacked Chicago White Sox49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007749.4%38 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Chicago White Sox49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014452.8%76 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Chicago White Sox49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9839846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago White Sox49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9848147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Chicago White Sox48c194.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.011,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers75c194.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Texas Rangers74c194.08$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4628453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago White Sox24c193.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2885148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Chicago White Sox49c193.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.747243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Texas Rangers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Texas Rangers51c156$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked Chicago White Sox48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011855.9%66 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Texas Rangers72c137.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.625576.4%42 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers51c137$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.132,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Texas Rangers51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1745045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox46c128.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.242,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Texas Rangers52c126.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.832055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Chicago White Sox19c125.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2761346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c54…9f63backed Texas Rangers52c119.95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.589447.9%45 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox20c115$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Chicago White Sox18c111.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6214328.7%41 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Texas Rangers52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.842355.6%235 W · 188 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Texas Rangers55c104.36$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.136254.8%34 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4e…d6e9backed Chicago White Sox49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508464.3%54 W · 30 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Chicago White Sox48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4884651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Texas Rangers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Texas Rangers53c99.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2542550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Texas Rangers73c99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7387352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697c…0b87backed Texas Rangers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0431046.5%144 W · 166 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Texas Rangers52c97.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7742448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Texas Rangers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Chicago White Sox49c93.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.581,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Texas Rangers52c93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.642962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Chicago White Sox49c88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1291749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Chicago White Sox43c87.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3652750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers71c83.26$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Chicago White Sox49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x586b…52d9backed Chicago White Sox49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf3…4807backed Chicago White Sox40c81.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.142263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox45c71.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.222,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e13…3035backed Chicago White Sox28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Texas Rangers79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.521,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Chicago White Sox15c69.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers77c69.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.064,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Texas Rangers74c69.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0613357.9%77 W · 56 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Texas Rangers73c69.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.858060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2561…ce3ebacked Texas Rangers74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5725249.6%125 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago White Sox29c66.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox27c66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.821,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.