MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb5b4a52ab5bf7cb14bd8103a5eab32a5a4b939d5629471ab6c543c508bd7f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 49c | 44,000$21,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,560 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 51c | 40,963$20,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,071.86 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 54c | 24,427$13,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,330.57 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 12,965$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 54c | 10,190$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.37 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 5,351$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 46c | 4,814$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.5 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 2,526$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.85 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,901$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,161$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 1,106$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 975$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 831.91$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 489.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 38c | 478$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 48c | 382.9$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 20c | 249$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 48c | 216.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 47c | 214.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 38c | 211$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 38c | 204.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 39c | 187$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 47c | 171$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 168$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 164$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 156$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 52c | 125.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 38c | 108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 54c | 102.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 35c | 102$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 101.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Over | 52c | 100.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 48c | 64.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 39c | 56.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 41c | 49.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 47c | 46.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 43.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 59c | 43.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 52c | 43.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 50c | 39.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 38.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…7b20backed Over | 53c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 47c | 34.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 34.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…82dfbacked Over | 53c | 33.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 36c | 33.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 36c | 29.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 55c | 26.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 23.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Under | 45c | 22.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…9e49backed Under | 47c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 20.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.