Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b64c22f4a10058f22351466d9a193e6916994691df9ddf5eb9c2c7bb20f9fe

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,932 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb1a1…ea66backed Over	0c	22,500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under	51c	2,673$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.63	1,295	45.1%584 W · 711 L	+49.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under	66c	1,314$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.1	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	10c	1,155$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.24	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under	50c	1,141$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.84	470	47.4%223 W · 247 L	+24.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Over	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	299	45.8%137 W · 162 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over	49c	1,005$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.45	379	48.3%183 W · 196 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Under	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	42c	928.77$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.42	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	51c	823.64$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.58	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Over	49c	667.88$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.68	414	39.6%164 W · 250 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	34c	645.57$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.38	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd94a…fe08backed Over	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b52…f071backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Over	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	644	43%277 W · 367 L	-27.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	49c	428$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.72	460	50.7%233 W · 227 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	19c	396.29$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.37	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	49c	384$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.16	1,092	52.4%572 W · 520 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Under	36c	382.12$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.88	203	36.9%75 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over	78c	347.15$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.09	222	65.3%145 W · 77 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Over	11c	345.91$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.05	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	67c	335.48$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.1	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	54c	300.89$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.6	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	29c	260.86$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.5	406	41.9%170 W · 236 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Over	56c	255$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.75	384	39.8%153 W · 231 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd3…6635backed Over	49c	236.69$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.98	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	47c	205$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.48	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over	49c	200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under	50c	186.03$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.07	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over	51c	181$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.69	573	49.4%283 W · 290 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over	44c	180.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.11	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	21c	154.38$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.73	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over	50c	149.49$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over	47c	141.5$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.91	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over	49c	135.45$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.37	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Over	49c	112.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	152	53.9%82 W · 70 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	43c	106.59$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	142	28.2%40 W · 102 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Under	37c	102.63$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.44	107	20.6%22 W · 85 L	-9.7wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-43%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Under	39c	92.31$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.31	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over	40c	89.94$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.04	158	23.4%37 W · 121 L	-21.3wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over	48c	87.96$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.22	462	48.9%226 W · 236 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over	49c	77.55$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3016…9ffdbacked Under	34c	74.83$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.39	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	54c	74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	51c	57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	530	47.2%250 W · 280 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73fd…a02abacked Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	38c	45.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.59	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under	51c	42.48$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	54c	42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd396…442cbacked Over	49c	41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b8…fb7ebacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3b…4583backed Under	52c	40.19$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.29	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…830ebacked Over	49c	38.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	145	63.4%92 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5f…4df1backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+137.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	47c	38.01$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed Under	53c	34.81$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Under	52c	31.44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Under	52c	28.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.89	1,024	45%461 W · 563 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	50c	24.68$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.44	186	39.2%73 W · 113 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over	55c	21.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa86…2b31backed Under	49c	21.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
First Blood in Game 2?EDward Gaming won
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming won
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event