TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof EDward Gaming, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,632 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8b6…fcdabacked EDward Gaming31c4,747$1,471 inLost-$1,471.481729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed LGD Gaming69c3,000$2,070 inWon+$93010449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed LGD Gaming70c1,986$1,390 inWon+$595.7662451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked LGD Gaming75c1,888$1,410 inWon+$478.0826155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming6c1,152$70 inLost-$69.722,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked EDward Gaming30c989.2$297 inLost-$296.7624434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed LGD Gaming71c979.04$694 inWon+$285.4910751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked EDward Gaming26c951.18$248 inLost-$2482,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed EDward Gaming30c883.33$265 inLost-$26517947.5%85 W · 94 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LGD Gaming69c865$597 inWon+$268.153,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed EDward Gaming25c828.83$209 inLost-$209.165728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed EDward Gaming41c718$295 inLost-$295.432,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed LGD Gaming73c689.26$501 inWon+$187.766246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked EDward Gaming27c518.52$140 inLost-$1409344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked EDward Gaming27c511.99$138 inLost-$138.2422748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b52…f071backed LGD Gaming75c500$375 inWon+$12512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed LGD Gaming70c428.57$300 inWon+$128.571764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked LGD Gaming69c422.92$292 inWon+$131.1132350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed LGD Gaming69c362.32$250 inWon+$112.3242348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed LGD Gaming71c352.11$250 inWon+$102.1165063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed EDward Gaming30c345.72$104 inLost-$103.722638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked LGD Gaming73c341.65$249 inWon+$92.8814228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked EDward Gaming28c199.98$57 inLost-$5716047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed EDward Gaming30c198.69$60 inLost-$6092342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked EDward Gaming30c179.45$53 inLost-$52.9737343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6db8…b4c1backed EDward Gaming28c178.57$50 inLost-$505824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfca7…5e0abacked EDward Gaming30c147.66$44 inLost-$44.32321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed EDward Gaming25c117.98$30 inLost-$29.670443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked EDward Gaming24c110$27 inLost-$26.934742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked EDward Gaming29c99.99$29 inLost-$2924554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed EDward Gaming29c90$26 inLost-$26.146248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked EDward Gaming24c75$18 inLost-$17.7531439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked EDward Gaming31c69.81$22 inLost-$21.641,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked EDward Gaming31c64.52$20 inLost-$2012447.6%59 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked EDward Gaming28c60.16$17 inLost-$16.758237.8%31 W · 51 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed LGD Gaming69c50$35 inWon+$15.537650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b0…4d1ebacked LGD Gaming69c50$35 inWon+$15.58245.1%37 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed LGD Gaming70c34.9$24 inWon+$10.471060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed LGD Gaming72c33.43$24 inWon+$9.2739555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked LGD Gaming70c27.21$19 inWon+$8.1663944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed LGD Gaming72c26.29$19 inWon+$7.3647047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed LGD Gaming70c21.21$15 inWon+$6.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked LGD Gaming70c21.21$15 inWon+$6.423264.2%149 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked LGD Gaming68c17$12 inWon+$5.447938%30 W · 49 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked LGD Gaming75c14.43$11 inWon+$3.6820967%140 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.