MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7928d566dec7628a0622703367d452e9dcfbd9988d800b2628ab70e652942d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 43,520$23,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500.71 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 22,620$11,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,616.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 16,888$7,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,119.41 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 47c | 14,820$6,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,854.59 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 50c | 11,021$5,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.82 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 10,595$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.36 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 9,546$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 6,997$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 6,602$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 5,910$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 4,888$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.72 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 3,189$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 3,072$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 46c | 2,773$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.63 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 53c | 2,411$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.04 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 46c | 1,253$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.76 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 42c | 1,126$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.01 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 46c | 1,036$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 922.21$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 915.2$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 52c | 749.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 47c | 717.65$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.35 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 527.81$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 40c | 497.74$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 478.28$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.27 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 471.52$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 53c | 468.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Under | 79c | 400.94$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 332.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 303.81$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 47c | 302.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 46c | 294.26$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 46c | 291.05$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 46c | 286$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 54c | 283$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 47c | 253.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 249.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 64c | 199.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 174.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 47c | 171.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 55c | 169.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 163.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 47c | 161.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 143.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 134.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 45c | 118.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 73c | 112.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 47c | 107.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 106.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 36c | 96.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 53c | 92.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 46c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 53c | 71.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Under | 52c | 70.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 67.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 66.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 45c | 66.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 56.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Under | 46c | 54.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 46c | 53.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 38c | 50.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 50.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 50.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Under | 50c | 48.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 45.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 55c | 43.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 47c | 39.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 46c | 39.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 42c | 37.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 44c | 37.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 41c | 35.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 45c | 31.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 34c | 29.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 46c | 28.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 49c | 25.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 53c | 23.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…f290backed Under | 76c | 23.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 58c | 22.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.