TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over54c43,520$23,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,500.7146949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c22,620$11,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,616.6510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80060%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c16,888$7,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,119.414,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under47c14,820$6,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,854.5910748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over50c11,021$5,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,494.8220648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over54c10,595$5,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,704.364,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c9,546$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,059.524,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c6,997$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.9311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c6,602$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.873,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c5,910$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.196,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c4,888$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.721,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c3,189$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.416,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c3,072$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.362,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under46c2,773$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.6373949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over53c2,411$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.0464452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under46c1,253$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.762,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under42c1,126$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.48,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under46c1,054$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.011,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under46c1,036$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.652,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c922.21$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.995,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c915.2$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.078,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c761$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.941,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over52c749.96$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9821052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under47c717.65$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3585645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c527.81$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.681,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed Under54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.999655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over40c497.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.837746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c478.28$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.273,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under46c471.52$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.621,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over53c468.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over54c416.67$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Under79c400.94$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c332.1$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.021,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over53c303.81$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.372,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under47c302.26$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.24452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under46c294.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8240447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under46c291.05$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1728154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under46c286$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4422448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over54c283$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8256253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under47c253.83$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8346152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under47c249.86$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4345748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under64c199.76$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3755448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under50c174.07$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.93,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under47c171.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6353655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over55c169.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.431,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c163.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under47c161.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under50c143.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.011,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under46c134.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.141,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under45c118.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.954,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under73c112.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4173653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under47c107.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3246255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over45c106.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over36c96.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.261,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over53c92.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8729141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under46c83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8235650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Under46c79.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1912154.5%66 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4715841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under46c72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8895252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over53c71.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8387750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa90…c709backed Under52c70.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.676256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over48c67.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under47c66.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.321,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under45c66.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.622,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over54c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.522,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.441236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over46c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3913545.2%61 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Under46c57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7835149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under80c56.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.418,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298f…b4e1backed Under46c54.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under46c53.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8928553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over54c53.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Under46c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2714047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293b…7a58backed Under38c50.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.344231%13 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under46c50.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1840341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over56c50.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.24,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked Under50c48.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.168153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under47c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9145445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c45.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.192,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over55c43.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8720945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under47c42.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5622450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013025.4%33 W · 97 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under47c39.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under46c39.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0234846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over42c37.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.985,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under44c37.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.993141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over41c35.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.414750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under45c31.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over34c29.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1540048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under46c28.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under41c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5231844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under49c25.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2228948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under53c23.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1840753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…f290backed Under76c23.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.752050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under58c22.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.353630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.