MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5652af07d7b055f0800aa2625c88eaaaefee224ee0b9448e6773a49048be64df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 32,182$13,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,838.1 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 21,196$13,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,175.85 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 12,809$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,768.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 26c | 8,944$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 7,700$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.99 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 1,877$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.25 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 1,768$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 1,199$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 1,059$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 998.11$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.08 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 699.03$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 585$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 539$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0f3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 446.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 432$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 409.47$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…22e2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 342.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 338.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 326$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 313.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 270$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 22c | 264.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 210.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 204$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 199.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Detroit Tigers | 24c | 194$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 192.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 165.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 155.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 145.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 125.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 88.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Detroit Tigers | 17c | 81.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 74.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 62.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 56.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 52.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 50.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 45.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 44.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 37.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 34.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 30.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 29.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 28.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 28.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.