Asian League · resolved market

Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf180689c7a05412c87e0bc8ecc0802789ab802ec720320292d7677ce771e0a29

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,282 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	3,545$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.45	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+13.5wins	+0.20per pick	14cpaid	+156.5%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over	44c	2,069$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.6	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over	73c	1,593$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.22	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under	2c	1,525$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	53c	1,309$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.32	1,309	56.8%743 W · 566 L	+66.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	46c	1,087$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.96	122	50%61 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	56c	999.99$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	54c	924.07$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.97	1,651	50.9%840 W · 811 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	38c	902.2$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.56	2,424	38%920 W · 1,504 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over	42c	869.93$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.16	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	62c	743.79$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.15	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over	51c	742.04$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.32	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	53c	707.18$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.94	211	44.5%94 W · 117 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	63c	706.88$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.01	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under	55c	700$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	35c	613.77$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.97	1,028	41.7%429 W · 599 L	-31.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27d…9587backed Over	46c	592.93$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.84	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	33c	556.75$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.55	585	42.7%250 W · 335 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over	53c	499.98$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.99	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under	41c	485.92$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.91	106	34.9%37 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	38c	448.28$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.58	721	44.1%318 W · 403 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	405.82$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.2	5,946	46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	45c	334.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.85	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	313.62$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.2	1,725	50.6%873 W · 852 L	+28.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	46c	300.11$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.98	1,443	35.3%509 W · 934 L	-36.4wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	28c	279.12$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.25	363	52.9%192 W · 171 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	47c	262.04$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.11	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…a9dabacked Over	46c	257.13$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.85	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under	6c	237.62$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	62c	219.28$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.92	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	54c	210.53$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.69	357	51%182 W · 175 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	34c	201$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.41	361	42.4%153 W · 208 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	58c	199.98$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.99	260	52.7%137 W · 123 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over	57c	195$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.69	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	+11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under	55c	180$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	54c	170.52$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.93	396	49.7%197 W · 199 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over	52c	166.41$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.89	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+7.3wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over	47c	160$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.4	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	54c	157.77$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.36	1,970	54.4%1,071 W · 899 L	+32.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under	32c	147.76$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.02	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over	47c	140.43$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.43	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under	58c	136$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.23	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	59c	134.1$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.98	245	48.6%119 W · 126 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over	34c	121.67$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.3	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+5.0wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over	36c	111.15$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.15	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Over	41c	109.99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	56c	104.03$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.54	348	47.4%165 W · 183 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	68c	102.36$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.24	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	340	50.9%173 W · 167 L	+19.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	54c	99.97$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.98	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed Over	56c	98.88$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.04	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under	56c	98.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	35c	92.35$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.55	375	59.2%222 W · 153 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+36%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	64c	79.83$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.43	441	52.4%231 W · 210 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	60c	76.52$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.91	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	15c	75.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	928	35%325 W · 603 L	-22.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	47c	72.81$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.22	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd538…6415backed Over	71c	69.01$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Over	79c	65.1$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.67	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	46c	60.78$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.82	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+15.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under	49c	58.82$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.82	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over	50c	51.75$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.88	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	50c	45.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.45	149	49%73 W · 76 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	56c	45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	564	45.4%256 W · 308 L	-25.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fea…f2c9backed Over	58c	43.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.14	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	31c	39.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	50c	37.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	263	48.7%128 W · 135 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…6e97backed Under	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over	54c	36.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.64	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under	36c	34.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under	56c	30.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Under	55c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under	60c	28.74$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.18	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc4…3955backed Under	55c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	54cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Under	46c	25.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	53c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…825cbacked Under	55c	20.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	70c	16.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	96	53.1%51 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event