Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1f46fc13b3a546e4ef8f9e71a7e205863b8cc2a89cc64a3cf314241be080c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 78c | 794$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 24c | 773.05$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 577.65$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.4 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 47c | 352.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 257.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 219.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 53c | 148$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 72c | 121$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 63.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 49.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…fca2backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed No | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…003abacked Yes | 57c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed No | 47c | 31.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 48c | 29.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 53c | 26.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 50c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.