WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd46a93792dc066b7dec9df4ec9839e391d764ab0d9f15ce1381672e8d2b806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Over | 52c | 6,631$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 4,766$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 4,284$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.85 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Over | 59c | 1,528$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,003$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.62 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 47c | 927.85$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.33 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 39c | 841.64$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 774$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.52 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 623.54$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.11 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 44c | 599$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.56 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 570.38$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.9 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 522.11$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.83 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 51c | 507.58$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 40c | 186$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 167.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Under | 45c | 115.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 77.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 53.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Under | 54c | 50.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Under | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 35.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 51c | 33.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b0…c1d2backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…755dbacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.