WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b6cb9c6c3fcc9329309c7360b5ff0133ecef0469ffd3529c5b10c48b19a625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 7,289$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.93 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 5,389$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.49 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 47c | 3,976$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 53c | 3,437$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.64 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 2,732$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.49 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 48c | 2,650$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.13 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 2,060$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.65 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 1,851$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.83 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,027$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.45 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 56c | 910.73$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.03 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 825$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.25 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 741.02$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.72 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 55c | 729.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 48c | 599.87$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 16c | 552.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 54c | 296.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Over | 53c | 276.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 49c | 270.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 45c | 254.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 49c | 229$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 49c | 221$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Over | 47c | 204.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 52c | 198.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 49c | 191.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 46c | 190$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 45c | 181.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 52c | 143.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 49c | 142$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 74c | 140.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Under | 51c | 73.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 73.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 71.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 66.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 59.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Over | 55c | 54.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 53.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…d91bbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 36.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 38c | 35.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 46c | 31.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 44c | 27.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 44c | 26.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 53c | 19.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 19.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.