WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb330bfad066f491a59846d8e9104ab3c39d9f6891e598577cb0b6b71ddaeed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 55c | 3,379$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.37 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 2,912$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 2,074$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.41 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,897$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.24 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b3…a099backed Under | 48c | 616.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 38c | 592.11$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 62c | 309.92$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.77 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 62c | 179$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 162.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1829…a2e2backed Over | 60c | 88.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 62c | 69.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 55c | 64.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 49c | 50.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 53c | 40.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 40.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 62c | 33.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.