WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda1e7b1e8da97878ca2b94f81364862fd51ace7898ed64b4c0567dc9870806da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,798$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.37 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 60c | 1,435$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.9 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 1,242$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.07 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 33c | 999$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 57c | 901$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.57 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 718.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.43 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Under | 52c | 587.98$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 43c | 457$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 307.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 279.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 43c | 255.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 43c | 186$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 58c | 173.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 61c | 146.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 144.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 47c | 137.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 42c | 107.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 53c | 102.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…3b66backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 50c | 85.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 81.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 76.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 55c | 54.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 52c | 54.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 38.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 58c | 26.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.