WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa6e53f7057c3a8dd202086282a4499d87b92a5602b18e2ff386a82a3622d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked New York Liberty | 57c | 77,361$43,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,421.52 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 24,052$10,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,436.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 19,959$8,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681.27 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 5,383$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 3,889$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.49 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Las Vegas Aces | 36c | 3,613$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 2,067$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.62 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 1,593$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.27 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 1,333$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 985$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 830.72$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 737.78$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.11 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty | 69c | 722.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.1 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 37c | 692.67$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 661.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 659.07$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.91 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 639.25$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.28 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 316$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 284.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 266$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked New York Liberty | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 122.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked New York Liberty | 66c | 107.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 32c | 107.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 95.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 81.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 32c | 64.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed New York Liberty | 55c | 61.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 34c | 60.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked New York Liberty | 51c | 51.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 39.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…340cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 32c | 38.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 35.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Las Vegas Aces | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 32.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Las Vegas Aces | 32c | 31.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed New York Liberty | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Las Vegas Aces | 39c | 28.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Liberty | 68c | 20.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed New York Liberty | 57c | 17.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.