WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be7c018df50bed6a36eaa249067eeb30e15bfcc3ebb58881fadc81d8b6ce111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed New York Liberty | 51c | 17,551$8,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 7,929$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 6,361$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.56 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 2,181$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.69 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.09 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,028$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.68 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed New York Liberty | 63c | 685.46$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 37c | 659$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.83 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 50c | 510.53$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 447.45$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 382$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 290$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 263.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1829…a2e2backed New York Liberty | 53c | 237.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 179.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…d749backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 119.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed New York Liberty | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 109.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…b7debacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 98.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed New York Liberty | 46c | 93.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 82.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 80.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…9538backed Las Vegas Aces | 30c | 72.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 63.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed New York Liberty | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…05f9backed New York Liberty | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 50.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed New York Liberty | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed New York Liberty | 35c | 45.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 30c | 41.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty | 63c | 35.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked New York Liberty | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed New York Liberty | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 28.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Liberty | 48c | 25.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed New York Liberty | 42c | 24.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed New York Liberty | 51c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…3be2backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.