Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe18be4ac90871929985436a60fcdb2935416eb07ef52254bb282045ee4086fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes | 42c | 13,764$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,924.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 60c | 6,463$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.64 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 57c | 3,373$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.96 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,870$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.38 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 1,500$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.88 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 57c | 1,032$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.02 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 888.22$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.22 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 44c | 871.69$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.39 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 745.23$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.72 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes | 49c | 682.62$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 522.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 39c | 483.79$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.11 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a076backed Yes | 46c | 476.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.53 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 397.6$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.23 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 56c | 282.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 44c | 239.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 16c | 201.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 46c | 183.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 56c | 177.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 48c | 172.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 39c | 166.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 166.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 42c | 165.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Yes | 42c | 165.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 40c | 155$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 148.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 57c | 147$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 143.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 42c | 141.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 138.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 42c | 107.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 46c | 95.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 30c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 58c | 88.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes | 49c | 86.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 43c | 84.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 39c | 82.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 46c | 81.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 80.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…e3a8backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 39c | 69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 60c | 43.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 38c | 39.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 55c | 37.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…200fbacked Yes | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 31.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 58c | 29.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 57c | 25.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 60c | 25.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed No | 55c | 19.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked No | 55c | 18.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 59c | 17.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 75c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg end in a draw?No won
- Will FCI Levadia win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.