Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCI Levadia win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e3457b48e7312bc39f08612d31467e95d529f69f911c1a044de98574e2d29f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 1,701$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.14 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 64c | 1,285$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.14 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 1,277$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 1,164$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.32 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 1,092$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.86 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 36c | 999.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…9d25backed Yes | 26c | 972.85$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +90%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 813.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 775.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 667.52$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 31c | 504.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 445.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 424.13$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 409$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 400.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 383.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 65c | 379$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked No | 79c | 358.67$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 31c | 307.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 213.96$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 162.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 15c | 130.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 109$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 74c | 98.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 31c | 94.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 65c | 91.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 68c | 73.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 70c | 63.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes | 22c | 57.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 33c | 57.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 32c | 47.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 45.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 66c | 40.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 34c | 33.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 29.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 23.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 73c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 76c | 17.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 67c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCI Levadia win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg end in a draw?No won
- Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.