Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25085dee8bb062cb650b134772bf32dab046c6a380cc5652dcdba23b51355888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 3,946$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.65 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 51c | 3,892$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 79c | 1,646$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 972.2$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 747.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 22c | 320.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 168.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 51c | 75.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 59c | 68.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Under | 50c | 59.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 25.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.