Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52368c23bcd9b1d6b41e6f59e9d08170a395224cb2590cb5b577142891e32bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hamarkamerateneof Sarpsborg 08 FF, Hamarkameratene
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6319…d371backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 34c | 2,571$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 34c | 2,126$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hamarkameratene | 57c | 1,740$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Hamarkameratene | 65c | 989.39$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hamarkameratene | 65c | 899.95$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Hamarkameratene | 67c | 698.82$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Hamarkameratene | 64c | 604.38$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Hamarkameratene | 66c | 604.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.33 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 36c | 392.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Hamarkameratene | 65c | 290.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 36c | 240$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hamarkameratene | 66c | 199.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 35c | 138.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Hamarkameratene | 66c | 88.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 37c | 73.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hamarkameratene | 66c | 59.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 36c | 34.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Hamarkameratene | 62c | 33.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hamarkameratene | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Hamarkameratene | 66c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.