Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf35dfac86db8be56562e6163db31e826557adb0c8a6b10d70dfeb091b84a761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 2,976$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.79 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…fcc3backed Under | 73c | 2,064$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 1,911$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.98 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 54c | 1,604$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.95 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 1,561$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.78 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 44c | 1,422$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.89 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 72c | 1,185$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 39c | 841.76$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.06 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 56c | 820$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 723.35$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.1 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 63c | 687.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 72c | 641.01$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 18c | 510.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 3c | 417.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…6ef8backed Under | 47c | 346.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 22c | 328.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked Over | 80c | 303.8$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 72c | 299.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 79c | 281.04$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 52c | 254.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 207$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 195.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…95c8backed Over | 80c | 163.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Over | 73c | 147.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 12c | 146.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Over | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 18c | 118.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 59c | 102.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 14c | 100.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…1750backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 97.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 89.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 17c | 87.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 63.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 62c | 58.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 71c | 55.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 66c | 54.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 33c | 47.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 80c | 44.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…fbf2backed Under | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 73c | 39.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Hibernian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.