Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3112ab53221f6aa5aff932c73e185f5324e4e4b27cb590429d98f8f735b004ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 48c | 3,840$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 3,772$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.36 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 1,048$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.33 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 2c | 816.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over | 23c | 768.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 37c | 588.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.99 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 39c | 408.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 318.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 75c | 267.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 244.78$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 39c | 180.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 161$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 60c | 135.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 40c | 117$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 105.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 72.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 41c | 52.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 57c | 45.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…696cbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Under | 51c | 33.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 54c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Under | 75c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Under | 75c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 77c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Hibernian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.