Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e77dec79b832c46ddc0d5e9234b6d3ba1cc446886599e6d4e002718a02bc79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 4,190$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.87 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 1,660$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 55c | 1,057$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…bf6abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 54c | 966.69$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.22 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 69c | 679.98$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.09 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 668.47$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.01 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 367.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.54 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 297.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 38c | 291.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 269.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 32c | 200.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 53c | 195.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 49c | 178.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 54c | 178.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 63c | 172.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 37c | 165.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 41c | 147.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 48c | 128$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 127.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 47c | 105.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 16c | 97.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked No | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 52c | 75.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 47c | 71.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 39c | 68.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 54c | 60.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 45cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 44c | 43.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 53c | 42.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…0f33backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…c8d0backed No | 50c | 37.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 61c | 37.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 34.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 54c | 33.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…6b2abacked Yes | 52c | 33.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 39c | 28.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Hibernian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.