Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920db106c7b94208ab0bbddaf2b77f0c5bb2512211a5ec9a8574688d335d9434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Malishevaof Hibernian FC, FC Malisheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Hibernian FC | 3c | 694.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Hibernian FC | 23c | 693.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…f61abacked Hibernian FC | 4c | 374.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Malisheva | 74c | 351.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Hibernian FC | 32c | 320$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked FC Malisheva | 64c | 306.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Malisheva | 71c | 235$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Hibernian FC | 32c | 217.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Hibernian FC | 38c | 92.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed FC Malisheva | 62c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC Malisheva | 64c | 59.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hibernian FC | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hibernian FC | 40c | 52.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked FC Malisheva | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Malisheva | 60c | 47.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Hibernian FC | 31c | 46.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hibernian FC | 34c | 40.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Hibernian FC | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Malisheva | 65c | 24.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Malisheva | 67c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked FC Malisheva | 63c | 20.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)this page
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Hibernian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.