TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Malishevaof FC Malisheva, Hibernian FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,392 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed FC Malisheva23c2,515$575 inWon+$1,940.282,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Hibernian FC76c1,455$1,101 inLost-$1,101.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Hibernian FC2c1,192$24 inLost-$23.84277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked FC Malisheva31c821.76$252 inWon+$569.761330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Hibernian FC78c784$609 inLost-$609.262,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Hibernian FC11c167.66$18 inLost-$18.1710627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Hibernian FC13c156.87$21 inLost-$211513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FC Malisheva24c150$36 inWon+$114.1733446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6616…878bbacked Hibernian FC77c129.87$100 inLost-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.40per pick58cpaid-75.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FC Malisheva24c125$30 inWon+$95.527846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed FC Malisheva68c117.55$80 inWon+$37.1311674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hibernian FC78c113.5$89 inLost-$89.092,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hibernian FC74c112.71$83 inLost-$83.412,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hibernian FC11c103.24$11 inLost-$11.0279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Hibernian FC50c96.48$49 inLost-$48.6645348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Hibernian FC27c72.74$20 inLost-$20365.6%2 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Malisheva79c70$55 inWon+$14.7563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Hibernian FC37c53.57$20 inLost-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hibernian FC69c50.01$35 inLost-$34.7381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FC Malisheva22c48.55$11 inWon+$37.6423950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hibernian FC59c40$24 inLost-$23.7335944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed FC Malisheva77c15.18$12 inWon+$3.495350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed FC Malisheva76c15$11 inWon+$3.553455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.