Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93e324ac681dba3ca9ff9f428c3b5db6c12a631a4346799eeeca22c7a428921

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,728 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x160b…4296backed Under	43c	5,763$2,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,263.72	433	44.6%193 W · 240 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over	56c	4,482$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	47c	2,678$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,420.77	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	56c	1,903$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.54	218	40.4%88 W · 130 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over	18c	1,244$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	59c	945.65$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.22	2,473	33.9%839 W · 1,634 L	-95.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over	58c	918.57$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.77	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over	58c	903$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.74	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over	58c	862.07$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	43c	732.48$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.06	694	48.8%339 W · 355 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over	4c	717.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.69	90	21.1%19 W · 71 L	+8.7wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+71.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	43c	658.56$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.55	661	50.5%334 W · 327 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d74…0324backed Over	44c	556.91$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under	42c	434.28$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.88	174	46%80 W · 94 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	61c	433.97$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.25	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over	58c	379.31$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over	58c	344.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	46c	330.59$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.84	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under	41c	307.71$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.12	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	58c	250.88$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.33	1,114	35.8%399 W · 715 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	50c	239.88$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.25	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	48c	220$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.8	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under	38c	209.99$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.59	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over	52c	206.38$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over	44c	205.76$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.53	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over	35c	201.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.68	69	23.2%16 W · 53 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under	43c	200$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+3.7wins	+0.23per pick	39cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	38c	189.95$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.98	169	40.2%68 W · 101 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	57c	187.17$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.77	1,604	38.9%624 W · 980 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	49c	181.36$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.3	314	30.3%95 W · 219 L	-15.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over	59c	170$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	363	56.5%205 W · 158 L	+17.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	47c	169.01$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.98	275	54.9%151 W · 124 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	55c	164.8$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.64	2,333	41.7%972 W · 1,361 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	50c	158.23$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.95	334	46.7%156 W · 178 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	54c	154$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.97	377	50.9%192 W · 185 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	58c	153.61$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.08	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	10c	147.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	783	44.8%351 W · 432 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under	47c	133.13$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over	65c	128.91$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.79	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under	35c	128.21$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.33	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	9c	124$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	55c	119.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.99	181	45.9%83 W · 98 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	44c	106.78$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.71	655	49.8%326 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over	58c	103.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	122	42.6%52 W · 70 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	68c	98.84$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.63	501	54.7%274 W · 227 L	+20.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	56c	96.34$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.39	568	49.6%282 W · 286 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	49c	96.34$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	973	46%448 W · 525 L	-4.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under	45c	91.29$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.21	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	206	60.2%124 W · 82 L	-15.2wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	58c	84.48$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	42c	79.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.39	793	54.2%430 W · 363 L	+17.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under	57c	78.95$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.26per pick	44cpaid	+58%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	41c	77.46$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	106	27.4%29 W · 77 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over	56c	71.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.87	90	62.2%56 W · 34 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over	46c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Over	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	46c	67.39$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	266	47.4%126 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff7…fc2bbacked Over	44c	65.91$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	38cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over	58c	65.52$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over	29c	62.45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	103	44.7%46 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81c…d3fabacked Over	58c	55.17$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.8wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+32%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Over	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	48c	51.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.66	814	40.5%330 W · 484 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	142	33.1%47 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Over	58c	43.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d90…c9e2backed Over	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Under	36c	36.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.31	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d16…addabacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a7b…90dfbacked Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	73cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	42c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	69c	29.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	453	48.3%219 W · 234 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4db…e401backed Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	48cpaid	-77%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	44c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	111	68.5%76 W · 35 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	56c	23.82$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.52	359	44.8%161 W · 198 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	42c	23.81$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.81	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+7.3wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under	59c	23.63$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	71c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	198	48%95 W · 103 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under	74c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.9	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5this page
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 0.5Over won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: FC Malisheva O/U 1.5Over won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Hibernian FC O/U 1.5Under won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)FC Malisheva won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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