Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c00fb2e313d70179491d34ce5d2af3b0d9a5ea2dabe730770ce2c6c12474ca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 4,191$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.85 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 2,486$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.33 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 31c | 897.94$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 765.25$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.11 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 51c | 685.43$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Under | 42c | 461.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 58c | 453.14$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.82 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 396.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.39 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 42c | 251.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 69c | 146.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 146.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 76c | 129.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 60c | 105.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 39c | 78.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 70.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 22c | 66.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 62.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 55.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 71c | 42.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 35.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…ab99backed Under | 75c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 2.5this page
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 1.5Under won
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: Team to AdvanceIFK Göteborg won
- Spread: IFK Göteborg (-1.5)FCI Levadia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.