Other European Leagues · resolved market
IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef80dea49b27ac6c53dfaa57b14f99944b9974944c086d8d66d875df47459e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,417$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…8cbebacked Over | 54c | 1,147$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 42c | 952.25$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.12 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 722.17$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 466.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Over | 72c | 329.72$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Over | 78c | 322.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 77c | 119.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 48c | 92.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 40c | 53.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 41c | 47.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 47c | 42.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 40c | 35.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Under | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 77c | 29.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 62c | 28.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 55c | 23.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 23.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Over | 61c | 23.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 70c | 22.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 66c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5this page
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-2.5)Degerfors IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.