Other European Leagues · resolved market
IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5c9541c4e01d88a8fbd16c195552f0afa72fbe6a39ba4ddaf0477e7f4e5443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 2,700$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.01 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 1,361$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.51 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 1,104$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 30c | 1,040$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 1,040$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 436.52$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 434.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 30c | 336.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 30c | 304.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 30c | 160.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 74.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 23c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 70c | 70.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 79c | 56.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Under | 79c | 52.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Over | 31c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Over | 62c | 46.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 30c | 46.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 70c | 24.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5this page
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-2.5)Degerfors IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.